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		<title>Future Babble : Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway</title>
		<description>Discuss Future Babble : Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway</description>
		<link>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble</link>
		<lastBuildDate>Thu, 23 May 2013 17:22:47 --500</lastBuildDate>
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			<title>Milton Caplan says:</title>
			<link>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-373</link>
			<description><![CDATA[Enjoyed reading Risk; just finished Future Babble and thought it was brilliant. Fascinating but frankly not surprising to see that expert predictions are often wrong. I will do my best to be a fox going forward......will definitely make reference to this book in an upcoming blog post. Hope to have the chance to continue to conversation.]]></description>
			<dc:creator>Milton Caplan</dc:creator>
			<pubDate>Tue, 07 Aug 2012 11:47:34 --500</pubDate>
			<guid>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-373</guid>
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		<item>
			<title>Svetlana says:</title>
			<link>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-339</link>
			<description><![CDATA[How can I buy this book from audible.com if I am Italian and live in Italy. Thank you for your help. Svetlana]]></description>
			<dc:creator>Svetlana</dc:creator>
			<pubDate>Mon, 14 May 2012 05:51:25 --500</pubDate>
			<guid>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-339</guid>
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		<item>
			<title>John West says:</title>
			<link>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-82</link>
			<description><![CDATA[I have alway said that you can predict anything but the future. I think someone else probably said it too, but I still say it anyway. Why not .... it's true.]]></description>
			<dc:creator>John West</dc:creator>
			<pubDate>Sun, 16 Jan 2011 13:28:12 --500</pubDate>
			<guid>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-82</guid>
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		<item>
			<title>Donald says:</title>
			<link>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-58</link>
			<description><![CDATA[Will there be an Audi edition? Looking forward to reading it. Cheers]]></description>
			<dc:creator>Donald</dc:creator>
			<pubDate>Sun, 21 Nov 2010 16:27:36 --500</pubDate>
			<guid>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-58</guid>
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		<item>
			<title>Ian L. McQueen says:</title>
			<link>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-47</link>
			<description><![CDATA[Your security codes are too difficult even for a human to decipher!! It took me at least two tries each time to guess what some of the squiggles represented. IanM]]></description>
			<dc:creator>Ian L. McQueen</dc:creator>
			<pubDate>Mon, 08 Nov 2010 13:38:25 --500</pubDate>
			<guid>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-47</guid>
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			<title>Ian L. McQueen says:</title>
			<link>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-46</link>
			<description><![CDATA[[Continued] And on the subject of Al Gore, one subject that I would have suggested on the CBC program would have been to ask how the person proposing a coming disaster would benefit from the methods suggested to counter it, like so-called "carbon trading". Al Gore is one of the founders of the (now failed) Chicago Carbon Exchange, and stood to make a fortune from it- every presentation of his error-filled An Inconvenient Truth was yet another sales pitch for CCX. I will read your book, and am going to suggest it to fellow followers of true science (misnames "sceptics"). And in case you didn't include it in your book, the definition of "expert": "X" stand for the unknown, and a "spurt" is a drip under pressure. IanM]]></description>
			<dc:creator>Ian L. McQueen</dc:creator>
			<pubDate>Mon, 08 Nov 2010 13:36:59 --500</pubDate>
			<guid>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-46</guid>
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			<title>Ian L. McQueen says:</title>
			<link>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-45</link>
			<description><![CDATA[Dan (if I may)- I heard the phone-in with you today on Maritime Noon (CBC). Excellent program, and the topic of your book is very timely. I have become very interested in the subject of climate, and spend two to six hours a day trying to keep up with information. Everything that you talked about today ("experts", etc) applies 100% to those in the business of promoting the "global warming" scare. Those, like myself, who take the time to read blogs like Watts Up With That, learn what is going on behind the "climate" scenes and why the confident pronouncements by people like Al Gore are worthless. [To be continued]]]></description>
			<dc:creator>Ian L. McQueen</dc:creator>
			<pubDate>Mon, 08 Nov 2010 13:36:03 --500</pubDate>
			<guid>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-45</guid>
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			<title>Dan  Gardner says:</title>
			<link>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-43</link>
			<description><![CDATA[Kamyar, I predict you'll enjoy chapter four. Dan]]></description>
			<dc:creator>Dan  Gardner</dc:creator>
			<pubDate>Sun, 07 Nov 2010 19:25:15 --500</pubDate>
			<guid>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-43</guid>
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			<title>Kamyar Hazaveh says:</title>
			<link>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-42</link>
			<description><![CDATA[Excellent interview on the Agenda. I enjoyed every minute of it and ordered several copies of the book for our company. I do economic forecasting for a living at a large buy-side investment firm. You are absolutely right about economists and their forecasts. Your Japan example has a contemporary parallel: China. I don't believe in China taking over the world economy by 2025 or so which many seem to have bought into. I just think forecasting that far out is fundamentally impossible.]]></description>
			<dc:creator>Kamyar Hazaveh</dc:creator>
			<pubDate>Sun, 07 Nov 2010 18:37:33 --500</pubDate>
			<guid>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-42</guid>
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			<title>Stan Blakey says:</title>
			<link>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-39</link>
			<description><![CDATA[What an excellent book. Steven Pinker is quite right. Thanks for writing it. I hope you will continue to research the research literature for more insights into this whole subject. One item that comes to mind is the comparison with other animals. In chapter three you describe both commonalities and differences in confirmation bias and pattern recognition biases between humans and other animals. I wonder if anyone has studied the existence of poor punditry in animals -whether it is over confident chest thumping or over-zealous warning calls.]]></description>
			<dc:creator>Stan Blakey</dc:creator>
			<pubDate>Wed, 03 Nov 2010 06:37:40 --500</pubDate>
			<guid>http://www.dangardner.ca/index.php/books/item/17-future-babble#comment-39</guid>
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